Unemployment Rises to 32.9% Youth Crisis Deepens as Mining & Steel Sectors Retract

Unemployment Rises to 32.9% Youth Crisis Deepens as Mining & Steel Sectors Retract

South Africa’s unemployment rate climbed to 32.9 percent in the first quarter of 2025, up from 31.9 percent in the previous quarter. The expanded definition, which includes discouraged job seekers, rose to over 43%. This increase translates into more than 8.2 million South Africans without work, a sobering reminder of how fragile the labour market remains.

While certain sectors such as finance, transport, and utilities recorded modest growth, job losses in trade, construction, private households, and mining overshadowed these gains. The number of employed people has slipped back to 16.8 million, placing further strain on an economy that struggles to balance growth with inclusive participation.

The most alarming reality lies with the youth. Unemployment among those aged 15 to 34 has surged to 46%, while for young people between 15 and 24, the rate has escalated to over 62%, the highest in three years. Many young South Africans are now so discouraged that nearly two million have exited the labour market entirely. This represents not just a lost generation of workers but also a systemic failure in creating meaningful pathways from education into employment.

The crisis in the labour market is compounded by mounting pressures in core industries. Retrenchments are imminent in the iron ore and steel value chain, with hundreds of jobs at risk due to production cuts and contract disputes. The slowdown in construction continues to weigh heavily on employment numbers, while global trade pressures are reshaping domestic manufacturing in unpredictable ways.

These setbacks, however, arrive at a time when South Africa is also preparing for a once-in-a-generation opportunity to reset its growth model. Large-scale investment in green energy, infrastructure upgrades, and industrial diversification holds the promise of new jobs and a more resilient economy.

The challenge is clear, traditional sectors that once absorbed large numbers of workers are shrinking, and the new economy has not yet reached the scale required to absorb those displaced. Skills mismatches remain a persistent barrier. Too few workers are trained in emerging industries such as renewable energy, advanced manufacturing, and logistics, while too many remain concentrated in low-growth or contracting sectors.

Unless training and reskilling programmes are rapidly expanded and aligned with the National Skills Development Plan 2030, the cycle of unemployment and underemployment will continue to deepen.

What is also at stake is social stability with unemployment concentrated among the youth, women, and those in the informal sector, inequality risks widening further. SMEs, often hailed as engines of growth, are struggling to access markets, finance, and supply chains that could enable them to absorb some of the displaced workforce. The promise of entrepreneurship and small business development will remain hollow if not supported by stronger policies, financing instruments, and targeted procurement opportunities.

Today’s unemployment figures must be read not only as an economic indicator but as a national call to action. The labour market crisis cannot be resolved through temporary relief measures or fragmented interventions.

What South Africa requires is a decisive alignment of its people with the pathways that matter most, access to jobs, skills development, entrepreneurship, and markets. If these pathways are unlocked, inclusive and sustainable participation in the economy becomes possible. If they are not, the country risks leaving millions behind.

The story of work in South Africa remains unfinished. Each job lost is a family under pressure. Each job created is a step toward rebuilding trust in the economy. The choices made in the months ahead will determine whether the nation continues on a path of high unemployment or begins to turn the tide toward opportunity.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.